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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

BATH CITY vs. MERTHYR TOWN
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Bath City's and Merthyr Town's ELO scores.


  Bath City   Merthyr Town  
  Current ELO Score: 3125.5   2954.1  
  Best ELO Score: 3451.7  
Saturday, December 26, 1992  
3670  
Saturday, September 3, 1921  
  Worst ELO Score: 2903.5  
Saturday, September 18, 2004  
2756.2  
Saturday, February 19, 2022  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Bath City and Merthyr Town.

 Venue Played Bath City
wins
Draws Merthyr Town
wins
Bath City
goals
Merthyr Town
goals
Bath City
SR%
Merthyr Town
SR%
 TOTAL 16 4 7 5 13 15 46.9% 53.1%
 HOME 8 3 2 3 8 8 50.0% 50.0%
 AWAY 8 1 5 2 5 7 43.8% 56.3%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
7 APR 2007 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(2895)  
2 - 1   Bath City
  (3140)
15
20 MAR 2007 CONF Bath City  
(3117)  
4 - 0   Merthyr Tydfil
  (2916)
7.1
25 FEB 2006 CONF Bath City  
(3051)  
2 - 0   Merthyr Tydfil
  (2947)
8.5
17 JAN 2006 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(2993)  
0 - 0   Bath City
  (3022)
0.8
19 OCT 2004 CONF Bath City  
(2932)  
0 - 2   Merthyr Tydfil
  (2971)
15.9
17 AUG 2004 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(2927)  
0 - 1   Bath City
  (2933)
11.5
8 APR 1995 CONF Bath City  
(3341)  
1 - 0   Merthyr Tydfil
  (3323)
7.5
26 DEC 1994 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(3314)  
2 - 0   Bath City
  (3340)
13.1
19 APR 1994 CONF Bath City  
(3391)  
0 - 3   Merthyr Tydfil
  (3308)
24.8
24 AUG 1993 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(3301)  
1 - 1   Bath City
  (3423)
1.4
8 SEP 1992 CONF Bath City  
(3381)  
1 - 3   Merthyr Tydfil
  (3431)
16
31 AUG 1992 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(3438)  
1 - 1   Bath City
  (3386)
3.5
10 FEB 1992 CONF Bath City  
(3371)  
0 - 0   Merthyr Tydfil
  (3387)
1.7
26 AUG 1991 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(3362)  
1 - 1   Bath City
  (3341)
2.7
30 APR 1991 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(3392)  
0 - 0   Bath City
  (3347)
3.3
11 SEP 1990 CONF Bath City  
(3294)  
0 - 0   Merthyr Tydfil
  (3396)
0.8